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AZ's Tranquility 120/086 Special Illustration Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Card
Cinccino ex 119/086 Special Illustration Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Card
Mega Greninja ex 116/086 Special Illustration Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Card
Roxie's Performance 121/086 Special Illustration Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Card
Xerneas 091/086 Illustration Rare Chaos Rising Pokemon Card
Mega Evolution · Chaos Rising · May 2026

The 10 Most Valuable Pokémon Cards in Chaos Rising

The best Chaos Rising cards ranked with live prices and a buy verdict on each one. Three months after launch the correction is over and the hierarchy is settled. Here's where the value actually landed.

Prices update live Released May 22, 2026 122 cards · 36 secret rares

Chaos Rising is the fourth expansion of the Mega Evolution era, and like Pitch Black after it, the set belongs to one Pokémon. Mega Greninja ex takes the top two spots outright, and the gap behind it is steep: after the seven cards that trade above $20, everything else in the set sits under $11. That cliff is the single most useful thing to understand before you spend money here.

The other thing to understand is timing. This set launched in May, boxes opened near $300 and have since traded at their all-time low, and a Mega Greninja ex Premium Collection in July added supply right as Pitch Black pulled collector attention away. The result is a market that has finished correcting. The best cards in Chaos Rising are ranked below by current market price, with context on what each card actually is and whether it's worth buying right now. For the full Chaos Rising card list with every price in the set, or the complete chase card ranking, those pages update live too.

How we determine verdicts

Prices and verdicts update automatically every time this page loads. Here's what drives each verdict:

First 4 weeks
We compare each card's current price against its English presale price. A card down more than 30% from presale gets a good entry signal. A card down 15-30% is flagged as correction still ongoing. A card still within 15% of presale is flagged as no urgency. If yesterday's price is available, a 24-hour drop of 3%+ overrides the presale comparison and flags it as a falling window. Trend arrows (▲▼) next to each price show the 24-hour movement.
After 4 weeks
Presale prices become stale. We switch to 30-day trend data stored weekly in our database from secondary market prices. A card down 15% or more over 30 days signals a buying window. A card within 5% of its lowest recorded price since we started tracking is flagged as a historically good entry. A card that has been flat for a month gets a stable rating.

Pull Rates (era estimates)

Illustration Rare (any) ~1 in 9 packs
Ultra Rare (any) ~1 in 12 packs
Special Illustration Rare (any) ~1 in 90 packs
Specific SIR ~1 in 500–600 packs
Mega Hyper Rare ~1 in 1,000–1,800 packs
Based on Mega Evolution era community data. No large Chaos Rising-specific sample exists so actual rates may vary. We'll update this as more data comes in.

The Artist Story

Susumu Maeya
Maeya has both ends of this list. His Mega Greninja SIR is the most valuable card in the set, a full-bleed action piece with the water shuriken mid-throw and color splashed across the entire frame. His Froakie IR at #9 is the same Pokémon line at the opposite volume, a quiet pond scene under $10. Owning the pair is one of the cheaper artist-bookend plays in the era.
Keisin
The set's surprise. A cozy pastel parlor scene on a non-Mega Pokémon outprices two Mega ex SIRs, and it isn't close. Cute-over-powerful is a repeating pattern in this era's market, and this is the card proving it in Chaos Rising.
OKACHEKE
AZ sitting in a sunlit rose garden with a Floette beside him, referencing one of the most emotional storylines Pokémon has ever written. Character cards with a story behind them hold demand long after set hype fades, and this is the cheapest character SIR in the set's top tier.
Quick Reference Prices update live. Click any row to jump to the full breakdown.
# Card Rarity Price Verdict

Where the Value Actually Is

Chaos Rising has one of the steepest value cliffs in the Mega Evolution era. Two Mega Greninja ex cards carry the set, with the art-driven SIR beating the rarer gold Mega Hyper Rare, the same inversion Pitch Black produced two months later. Below them sits a surprise Cinccino ex that outprices two Mega SIRs, a pair of trainer SIRs covering opposite emotional registers, and then a hard drop: past the top seven, nothing in this set trades above $11.

The correction is long finished here. Boxes have traded at their all-time low and the singles market absorbed both the Premium Collection supply and the attention shift to newer sets. Whatever these cards are worth today is what the market genuinely thinks of them, not launch hype. That makes this an unusually honest set to shop, in both directions: the best cards in the set are fairly priced, and so is everything that isn't.

Looking for more? See how the same patterns played out in the Pitch Black top 10, or run the box math with our Chaos Rising buying guide before deciding between sealed and singles.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the most valuable card in Chaos Rising?

The Mega Greninja ex Special Illustration Rare (116/086) is the most valuable card in Chaos Rising, trading around $190. It outprices every other card in the set, including the rarer gold Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare. Live prices for both are shown on this page and refresh automatically.

Why is the Mega Greninja ex SIR worth more than the Mega Hyper Rare?

Artwork demand. The Mega Hyper Rare is harder to pull, but the Special Illustration Rare's full illustration is the version collectors actually want. The same inversion happened in Pitch Black, where the Mega Darkrai ex SIR outprices its gold Mega Hyper Rare. In the Mega Evolution era, art has consistently beaten scarcity.

What are the best cards in Chaos Rising?

The top ten by market price: both Mega Greninja ex secret rares, Cinccino ex SIR, Mega Dragalge ex SIR, Mega Floette ex SIR, the AZ's Tranquility and Roxie's Performance trainer SIRs, the Mega Greninja ex Ultra Rare, and the Froakie and Xerneas Illustration Rares. Everything below that tier trades under $10.

Is Chaos Rising worth buying now?

Booster boxes have traded near their all-time low, well under the roughly $300 they launched at in May 2026, and singles finished their post-launch correction months ago. Whether a box or singles makes more sense depends on what you want out of it. Our separate Chaos Rising buying guide runs the box value and pull rate math for every type of buyer.

What are the SIR pull rates in Chaos Rising?

Based on Mega Evolution era community data, any Special Illustration Rare runs roughly 1 in 90 packs, and a specific SIR roughly 1 in 500 to 600 packs. The Mega Hyper Rare is the hardest pull in the set at an estimated 1 in 1,000 to 1,800 packs. That is why buying the exact single you want is usually cheaper than chasing it in packs.

TCG Watchtower
Written by
Empathy · TCG Watchtower
TCG Watchtower tracks Pokémon and One Piece TCG card prices, restock alerts, and set releases. Empathy covers the Mega Evolution era with a focus on market analysis and investment research for the TCG community.
Prices shown are market prices fetched live and may differ from current listings. Pull rate estimates are based on Mega Evolution era community data. TCG Watchtower participates in affiliate programs. Purchases made through links on this page may earn us a commission at no cost to you.